Based on the map, dems win 14 states with 10+ electorial votes to 7 states for the repubs kind of tells it all the problem for dems in the house is it is easy for rs to gerymander because of the big cities. Included in that count is maine, florida, new hampshire, north carolina, michigan, and pennsylvania trump can solidly rely on 132 votes, according to their projection and about 59 votes are likely. Donald trump is in his weakest political position of the entire presidential campaign. The 2012-2020 electoral college map [click to enlarge] in view of the fact that the census bureau released its population numbers prior to the holidays, fhq needs to issue a clerical change to its 2012 electoral college map shifting from projection to reality.
When jimmy carter defeated president gerald ford in 1976, every big state was competitive: california, new york, pennsylvania, texas, illinois and ohio all had at least 25 electoral votes, and. See the latest here this electoral college map will be updated throughout tuesday night hillary clinton and donald trump will vie for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the 2016 presidential. Before looking at some maps that show a trump pathway to surprise upset victory, let's consider the most likely scenario based on current polling as of november 3 clinton wins the electoral college. Forecast if donald trump or hillary clinton will have have a chance at winning the 2016 presidential election with the abc news interactive electoral map.
The map above is an aggregation of ~10 polls for the 2018 us senate races, which include two special elections in mn and ms the polls were chosen reflecting a moderate to strong bias in favor of the democrats. Election graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate electoral college results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races like election graphs on facebook, follow @electiongraphs on twitter, or read the election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data. Our projection would give clinton 352 electoral votes, while trump would end up with 186 that would put clinton's electoral majority midway between president obama's 2008 win and his 2012. The state of play in this new electoral map outlook, we have moved the biggest electoral prize among the battlegrounds - florida - to leaning in clinton's direction.
Find the latest presidential election news stories, photos and videos on nbcnewscom read headlines covering the presidential debates, polls, results, and more. Regardless, he still trails badly in electoral college projections more importantly, the pollsters say the change is due to a tale of two electorates, as gary langer, who oversees the. Map 1: crystal ball electoral college projection despite some wobbles along the way, we've favored hillary clinton as the 45th president of the united states ever since we did our first handicapping of the clinton vs donald trump matchup back in late march.
Delegates point to an electoral map at the democratic national convention, philadelphia, pennsylvania, july 27, 2016 (reuters / charles mostoller) independent news is more important than ever. 2 the numbers in the parentheses refer to the number of electoral votes a candidate would have if he or she won all the states ranked prior to that state if, for example, trump won all the states up to and including pennsylvania (all clinton's toss up states plus pennsylvania), he would have 289 electoral votes. Welcome to election projection since late 2003, election projection has been in the business of projecting the upcoming elections here you'll find data-driven calculations that gauge the status of all senate , house and gubernatorial elections on tap for 2018.
The 2016 presidential race is, borrowing a phrase from donald trump, once again keeping america in suspense - with the polls and the electoral map being scrambled in the final days amid a. The fbi's october surprise appears to have improved donald trump's overall standing in the electoral map, with the latest fox news electoral scorecard showing several states shifting in his. Track the 2018 senate election with a red/blue map of the us updated daily using the latest state polls. The no toss-ups map gives the crucial swing states like florida, north carolina, and virginia to the clinton campaign, as well as colorado, new mexico, and arizona, the last of which was predicted to go to trump earlier this month.